Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 5, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 29.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The number of points averaged against Wendell Carter Jr. has been quite high (16.9 per game) when guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games at home.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, opposing teams have secured 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic (losing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren ranks in the 5th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a a subpar 0.0% rate this year.
Jalen Duren has attempted 0.1 3-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 7th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jalen Duren has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Detroit Pistons.

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