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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 1/12/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jalen Duren has successfully made 7.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
  • This year, the other team has shot 45.3% on field goal attempts (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a hard matchup.
  • The 6th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
  • The Pistons check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jalen Duren has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 23.9% more than he's made in all games this season at home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren lands in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 3.2 fouls per game this year.
  • With respect to offense, the Detroit Pistons's feeble 110.2 points per game playing at home comes in as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup against Alperen Sengun is a hard one for three-pointers; when Sengun is playing on the road and guarding other starting Cs this year, they have totaled a measly 0.3 threes per game (7th percentile).
  • The Detroit Pistons will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year (the Rockets).
  • Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team has snagged 12.2 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Rockets (preserving possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

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