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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Points
Player Prop - 1/9/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Sacramento Kings

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Duren has sunk 75.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 9.2% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

The Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home.

The Kings have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Pistons.

The Pistons check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

This year, their opposition has secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Kings (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren comes in at the 96th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game this year.

The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA playing at home this year.

Over the last 20 games, opposing squads have shot 49.2% on field goal attempts (7th-best in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, resulting in a good matchup.

The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a difficult one; he has given up just 10.9 points per game away from his home court when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Domantas Sabonis has been very low this year (2.1 free throws per game when they have the home court advantage: 3rd percentile).

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