Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Utah Jazz vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 3:29 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has successfully made 63.7% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.
Jalen Duren has tallied 29.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 76th percentile.
This matchup is a difficult one for scoring; opposing teams have shot for the 4th-lowest FG% in the NBA over the last 5 games when the Jazz are playing at home (43.8%).
The Pistons have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The Detroit Pistons will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren registers in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 3.4 fouls per game this year.
In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Pistons.
The number of shots from behind the three-point arc made against John Collins has been remarkably low (0.3 per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Utah Jazz have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production for all stats.

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