Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 3.9 rate, Jalen Duren's shots converted have risen this year to 5.7 per game.
Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have shot 46.0% on shots from the field (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nets, marking this as a challenging matchup.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
Jalen Duren will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has successfully made 0.0% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking him in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren registers in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.9 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The number of shots from downtown attempted against Nic Claxton has been very low (0.8 per game) when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Detroit Pistons are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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