Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has tallied a terrific 12.6 points per game this year, a big improvement over his 9.1 points per game last year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled 18.4 points per game (29th-most in the league) against the Pacers, branding this as a positive matchup for offensive output.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The Detroit Pistons will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the fastest tempo away team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).
The Pistons have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 2.6 fouls per game last year.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
While playing on the road, the Pacers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
In contrast to last season's 64.0% clip, Jalen Duren's free-throw efficiency has regressed this season to 58.3%.
Jalen Duren will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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