Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has converted 64.1% of his shot attempts from the field when playing on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 10th-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the 76ers).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 7thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have collected 9.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in added chances for offense).
Jalen Duren will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren measures in the 4th percentile for 3-point proficiency when playing away from home with a a weak 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Jalen Duren places in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.9 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have compiled 11.6 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The 6th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Detroit Pistons.