Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 2, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged 61.9% on shots from the field (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are at home, the other team has nabbed 9.8 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren lands in the 4th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a a feeble 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Duren lands in the 4th percentile for shot attempts from downtown away from his home court, tallying 0.0 per game since the start of last season.
Jalen Duren has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.