Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has made 63.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren has attempted 4.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted just 20.8 foul shots per game this year (least in the league).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has made 0.0% of his three-point attempts with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jalen Duren has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (88th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games.
This matchup is a favorable one for three-pointers; the other team have totaled the 2nd-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (13.2).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home.

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