Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost opportunities for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has made 0.0% of his treys since the start of last season, ranking in the 3rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jalen Duren has attempted 0.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 4th percentile among all players in the league.
Jalen Duren has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (91st percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a good one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (121.5).

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