Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has converted 74.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 9.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
The matchup against Jarrett Allen is a favorable one for shots from the field; when Allen is at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a massive 50.8% of their field goal attempts (3rd percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has attempted 0.0 shots from downtown per game on the road this year, ranking in the 5th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jalen Duren has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a difficult one for field goals; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 2nd-least field goals per game in the league this year (5.2).
The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.