Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has converted 69.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 7.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Jalen Duren has played 28.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.3 more than he's played in all games this season.
The Pistons have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year with the home court advantage, which ought to increase plays for the Warriors.
As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been very successful at drawing fouls: best in the league this year, tallying 27.7 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup against the Warriors may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a monstrous 3.9 foul shots per game this year (most in the league).

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has attempted 0.0 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 4th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jalen Duren has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (81st percentile).
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; opposing teams have totaled the 7th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (36.7).
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
Jalen Duren will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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