Jalen Duren Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2022

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic · Dec 28, 2022

Updated Dec 28, 2022 9:40 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has sunk 5.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's made over the course of the season.
Jalen Duren has played 30.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's played in all games this season.
As a team, the Detroit Pistons have been terrific at drawing fouls: best in the league this year, tallying 27.1 foul shots per game.
The Magic have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the league to the other team this year when playing away from home (which also provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has successfully made 0.0% of his 3-point shots this year, putting him in the 0th percentile among all players in the league.
Jalen Duren has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year at home, ranking him among the league's highest-fouling over this stretch: 85th percentile.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league on their home court this year in terms of shots made from the field.
The matchup vs. the Magic is a tough one; they have given up the 8th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting Cs this year (12.2).
The matchup vs. Moritz Wagner is a challenging one for field goal attempts; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 7.4 shots made from the field per game (97th percentile).

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