Jalen Duren Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · Dec 16, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 11:44 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has tallied 2.8 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the league by this standard in recent games: 75th percentile.
The 10th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Jalen Duren will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to improve stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.

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