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Jalen Duren

Jalen Duren Assists
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

 
 
 
Jalen Duren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jalen Duren has totaled 3.6 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.9 more than he's totaled overall this year on the road.
  • In comparison to last season's 25.0 rate, Jalen Duren's playing time has increased this season to 30.0 minutes per game.
  • The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the away team.
  • The Detroit Pistons rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • With the home court advantage, the Miami Heat have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jalen Duren has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
  • The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.
  • Jalen Duren will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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