Jalen Duren Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has played a terrific 30.1 minutes per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 25.0 minutes per game last season.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Pistons have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Chicago Bulls have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Duren lands in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 3.1 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The Pistons are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls).
Jalen Duren will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally lowers stat production across the board.

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