Jalen Duren Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 79th percentile.
The Pistons have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Duren lands in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 3.2 fouls per game away from home this year.
With the home court advantage, the Pacers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren ought to suffer a reduction in efficiency in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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