Jalen Duren Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 12:28 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-132/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has totaled 2.9 assists per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.
The Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA away from their home court this year.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Duren slots into the 98th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.4 fouls per game this year.
The Pistons will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).
Over the last 5 games, the other team has snagged 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the league) against the Boston Celtics (lengthening possessions that can bring about more opportunities for offense).
Jalen Duren will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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