Jalen Duren Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Assists

New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Duren has totaled 3.0 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 78th percentile.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Knicks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 2.7 clip, Jalen Duren's personal fouls per game have spiked this year to 3.7.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
Jalen Duren will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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