Jalen Duren Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Jalen Duren

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Duren

C · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 10:26 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Duren Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+182/-244).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +195 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +182.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Pistons have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Duren will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jalen Duren has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (88th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Nets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should decrease plays for the Pistons.
The Nets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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