Jalen Brunson Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 12:53 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has put up 4.4 defensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's put up in all games this season.
Jalen Brunson has averaged 35.3 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The New York Knicks have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Knicks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New York Knicks rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Jalen Brunson has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home.
The Bucks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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