Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2024

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

Phoenix Suns vs New York Knicks · Nov 20, 2024

Updated Nov 21, 2024 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has successfully made 2.2 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Brunson places in the 89th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 34.2 minutes per game this year.
With respect to scoring, the New York Knicks's impressive 121.2 points per game places 3rd-best in the league over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 29.2 points per game (most in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive production.
Jalen Brunson has attempted 6.4 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Jalen Brunson has attempted a measly 18.1 field goals per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 22.1 rate last season.
The slowest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Knicks.
The New York Knicks will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the New York Knicks grade out 2ndworst in in the league while playing away from home with a mere 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have grabbed 10.5 offensive boards per game (22nd-most in the league) against the Suns (saving possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).

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