Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2024

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Washington Wizards · Nov 18, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of offense, the New York Knicks's impressive 117.3 points per game while at home measures as the 7th-best in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a strong one; they have allowed the 6th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (20.2).
The Knicks are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Wizards).
Jalen Brunson has attempted 9.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Washington Wizards is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 4.0 free throws per game this year (10th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Jalen Brunson has attempted a measly 18.4 field goals per game this year, significantly less than his 22.1 rate last year.
Jalen Brunson has made 21.8% of his three-point attempts when playing at home this year, placing him in the 17th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jalen Brunson has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the New York Knicks rank 9thworst in in the league with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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