Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:10 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has tallied 33.6 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The New York Knicks rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 3.5 three-pointers per game (most in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, creating a strong matchup.
Jalen Brunson has successfully made 6.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 29.3 clip, Jalen Brunson's points per game have fallen this season to 25.3.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Knicks.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Knicks.
As a team, the Knicks have been poor at getting to the charity stripe: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a mere 19.7 free throw attempts per game.

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