Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 29, 2024 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 18.0 clip, Jalen Brunson's shots have spiked this season to 21.6 per game.
Jalen Brunson has successfully made 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season when playing away from home.
Jalen Brunson has tallied 40.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 37.7% on 3-pointers (9th-highest in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers, labeling this as a strong matchup.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Knicks rank best in in the league with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the New York Knicks's subpar 46.5% field goal rate ranks 9th-worst in the league this year.
The most lethargic tempo team in the league this year has been the Knicks.
The Knicks will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the 76ers).
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 0.8 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.
Jalen Brunson ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this contest.

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