Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2024

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics · Feb 24, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has logged 31.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.2 more than he's logged in all games this year.
Relative to last year's 2.0 mark, Jalen Brunson's three-point shots converted have surged this year to 2.6 per game.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Brunson places in the 98th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 36.0 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 3.0 three-pointers per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, designating this as a good matchup.
The Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Knicks's subpar 106.4 points per game settles in as the 4th-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Knicks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Celtics).
The Celtics have allowed the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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