Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs New York Knicks · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has logged 32.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's logged overall this year.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Brunson comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 36.0 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Hornets have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Brunson has converted 6.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Favors Under

Jalen Brunson has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.1 higher than he's been called for in all games this season on the road.
The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a challenging one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 15th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (11.3).
The Knicks have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The New York Knicks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Hornets).
The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 foul shots per game this year (13th-least in the league).