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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2024

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Brunson has notched 32.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's notched in all games this year.

In contrast to last year's 2.0 mark, Jalen Brunson's three-point shots drained have increased this year to 2.8 per game.

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Brunson registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 35.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a positive one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Knicks grade out 2ndbest in in the NBA with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Brunson places in the 76th percentile for technical fouls, averaging a whopping 0.1 fouls per game while at home this year.

The Knicks check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

The Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league at home this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the New York Knicks.

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