Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 7:04 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has totaled 25.8 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 96th percentile.
Jalen Brunson has averaged 35.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The New York Knicks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The New York Knicks are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from facing the fastest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Indiana Pacers).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New York Knicks rank 11thbest in in the league while on the road with 12.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

In regard to scoring, the New York Knicks's feeble 46.6% field goal rate settles in as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
The matchup against the Pacers is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).
The Indiana Pacers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Brunson is expected to suffer a reduction in output in all facets of the game considering playing on the visting team in this contest.