Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 7:54 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 2.0 clip, Jalen Brunson's three-point shots drained have jumped this year to 3.2 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Brunson lands in the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 34.9 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 3.2 threes per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The New York Knicks have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Relative to last season's 4.8 clip, Jalen Brunson's foul shots drained have jumped this season to 4.3 per game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Brunson places in the 76th percentile for technical fouls, registering a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The New York Knicks have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league on their home court this year.
The most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Knicks.
The Knicks are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing teams have secured 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (8th-most in the league) against the Boston Celtics (preserving possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).