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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks

 
 
 
Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In comparison to last season's 24.1 rate, Jalen Brunson's points per game have spiked this season to 27.9.
  • Jalen Brunson has converted a whopping 3.9 three-pointers per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.0 rate last season.
  • Jalen Brunson has averaged 34.5 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
  • The New York Knicks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Relative to last season's 5.8 clip, Jalen Brunson's number of foul shots has declined this season to 4.7 foul shots per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Knicks have been the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The matchup vs. Minnesota is a hard one for scoring; when the Timberwolves are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (27.9%).
  • The least up-tempo tempo away offense in the NBA this year has been the New York Knicks.
  • This year, opposing teams have come down with 12.0 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (lengthening possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).
  • Jalen Brunson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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