Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/18/2023

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks · Apr 18, 2023

Updated Apr 18, 2023 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has converted 11.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Jalen Brunson has sunk 3.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he's made over the course of the season while on the road.
Jalen Brunson has tallied 34.0 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against Cleveland is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Cavaliers are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (27.9%).
The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while on the road.
The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Knicks.
Jalen Brunson will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens player performance across the board.

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