Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 3:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing teams have averaged the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games when the Pacers are on their home court (28.8).
The Pacers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year, which should boost possessions for the Knicks.
The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks check in as the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA away from home this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
On their home court, the Pacers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; when the Pacers are playing at home, opposing clubs have attempted an enormous 26.6 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

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