Jalen Brunson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Points

New York Knicks vs Washington Wizards · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has successfully made 10.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's converted overall this year.
Jalen Brunson has converted 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.
Jalen Brunson has played 34.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Wizards is a good one; they have given up the 25th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 5 games (20.6).
The New York Knicks have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New York Knicks check in as the 10th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games at home.
The Wizards have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Knicks.
While playing away from home, the Wizards have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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