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Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson Points
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Brunson has made 58.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 10.2% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Jalen Brunson has made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year.

Jalen Brunson has averaged 33.9 minutes per game on the road this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

The New York Knicks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Knicks check in as the 7th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for shots from the field; the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (5.6).

The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Knicks.

The matchup against the Heat may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 1.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (15th-least in the league).

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