Jalen Brunson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Jalen Brunson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Brunson

G · New York Knicks

Made 3 Point Shots

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 11:23 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Brunson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Brunson has converted an impressive 3.2 treys per game this season, a significant increase from his 2.0 rate last season.
Jalen Brunson has played 32.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 25th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (7.4).
The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has captured 10.1 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Jalen Brunson has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the New York Knicks.
The New York Knicks are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the most lethargic tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

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