Jaime Jaquez Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

G · Miami Heat

Rebounds

LA Clippers vs Miami Heat · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-124/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 2.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's averaged overall this season.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Heat will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 17 games (the Clippers).

Favors Under

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 3rdworst in in the league on the road with just 9.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The Clippers have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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