Jaime Jaquez Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

G · Miami Heat

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -161 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. figures to see an increase in production across the board on account of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Chicago Bulls have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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