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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2025

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league at home this year.

The Heat will likely see a rise in possessions today from competing against the 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Indiana Pacers).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 22.5% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has attempted a lowly 7.4 shots from the field per game this year, significantly less than his 9.6 rate last year.

In comparison to last season's 28.3 mark, Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s playing time has decreased this season to 22.5 minutes per game.

The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.9).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA as the home team this year.

The Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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