Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Apr 29, 2024

Updated Apr 29, 2024 9:56 PM EST

Analysis

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has attempted 13.8 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 9th-most aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Heat.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's converted overall this season with the home court advantage.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. ought to see a spike in performance for all stats as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.2 fouls per game this year.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have averaged 38.1% on field goal attempts (4th-weakest in the league) vs. the Celtics, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Miami Heat are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the slowest tempo away team in the league over the last 15 games (the Boston Celtics).
The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).