Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

G · Miami Heat

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 9, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 54.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 5.8% more than he's converted overall this season.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. has tallied 28.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 75th percentile.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The Heat will likely see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).
Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 18.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. measures in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.2 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The most sluggish tempo road offense in the league this year has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league as the visting team with only 8.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. stands to see a decline in efficiency in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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