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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 41.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has tallied 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's tallied overall this year.

With respect to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's stellar 39.8% rate of successful threes measures as the strongest in the NBA this year.

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 47.0% on three-pointers (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, making this a favorable matchup.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's converted over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The most lethargic pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the 10th-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

When playing at home, the Golden State Warriors have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. should suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories considering being on the road in this contest.

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