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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/22/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has attempted 12.1 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's averaged overall this year.

In regard to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's outstanding 39.8% rate of sunk threes settles in as the strongest in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks is a strong one for scoring; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (55.3%).

The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-speediest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Hawks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 25.6% of his three-point attempts on his home court this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Away from their home court, the Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (12th-least in the NBA).

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