Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

G · Miami Heat

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 14, 2023 11:05 PM EST

Analysis

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 53.7% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 9.0% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season while on his home court.
The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league without the home court advantage this year.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the quickest pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Heat.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 10thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, opposing teams have secured 11.8 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Hornets (retaining possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).
Among all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. registers in the 24th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, posting a measly 0.8 free throw attempts per game on the road this year.
This matchup is a positive one for getting to the foul line; when the Hornets have the home court advantage, the other team has attempted an enormous 26.2 foul shots per game this year (2nd-most in the league).
Jaime Jaquez Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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