Jaime Jaquez Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

G · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Apr 27, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 6:03 PM EST

Analysis

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+124/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +138 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 18.2% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season.
The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home in terms of three-point attempts.
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 7.0 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Celtics, identifying this as a positive matchup.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. figures to see an increase in efficiency for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. places in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.2 fouls per game this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year.
The Heat will likely see a decline in plays today from facing the most lethargic tempo away offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Celtics).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.