Jaime Jaquez Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Jaime Jaquez Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Jaime Jaquez Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Magic).
This year when they are away from home, their opposition has grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jaime Jaquez Jr. is expected to suffer a drop-off in output across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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