Jae'Sean Tate Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jae'Sean Tate

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Houston Rockets · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 9:01 PM EST

Analysis

Jae'Sean Tate Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jae'Sean Tate has made 49.6% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jae'Sean Tate has successfully made 44.2% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 15.4% more than he's converted in all games this year.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league this year.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
When playing at home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jae'Sean Tate has averaged 3.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (100th percentile).
The Houston Rockets rank as the 8th-least efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Portland is a hard one; when the Trail Blazers are on their home court, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (11.3).
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.4 free throws per game over the last 25 games (12th-least in the league).
Jae'Sean Tate will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player performance across the board.