Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Dec 14, 2024

Updated Dec 14, 2024 9:58 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 7.0 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 37.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the year on the road.
The Thunder have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to decrease possessions for the Rockets.
Jabari Smith Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.