Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Houston Rockets · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 9.2 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.
Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The Pistons have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should raise plays for the Rockets.
The Rockets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Pistons have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (96th percentile).
The 4th-slowest tempo road offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
Jabari Smith Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease player performance for all stats.

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