Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2022

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets · Dec 29, 2022

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has totaled 1.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 higher than he's totaled overall this season.
Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 29.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 76th percentile.
The Houston Rockets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (which also create added chances for scoring and assists).
The Houston Rockets have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (94th percentile).
The Rockets have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Mavericks.
Jabari Smith Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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